July 16, 2016
Herp derp, just herpin a derp.
Well, the coup appears to be mostly over.
The whole thing was a totally sloppy mess.
Like, outrageously so.
Like, there is very little possibility that the Turkish military, who throws coups regularly, could have screwed this up this badly.
The way you throw a coup is pretty straightforward: first you grab the leader, then grab the media outlets, then put the leader on the media, humiliated.
Instead, these people decided to throw the coup while Erdogan was on vacation. And apparently didn’t even attempt to secure him. By the time the coup began, he was already in a secret location. Then the whole thing went straight to hell, very quickly.
The coup told people to go home, while Erdogan told his people to go on the street. So the coup supporters were at home, while the Erdogan supporters were out on the streets. This is exactly the opposite situation a coup would want.
The coup also started firing on civilians (apparently), which is also something you definitely do not want to do. That makes even people who were inclined to support it turn against it.
They took CNN then people complained so they gave it up.
In short, the whole thing could have been better arranged for Erdogan himself, who now looks like a hero of the people.
As such, it seems to me the most likely possibility is that Erdogan – presumably with the blessing of Western forces – worked with some of his own people in the military to arrange a hoax coup.
All regular readers know that I am generally very critical of conspiracy theories. And yet, looking at this objectively, I must say – it is the most likely option, period.
The head of the military never came out and supported the coup. None of the top military officials did. No one even announced that they were in charge.
There was no leader of this coup.
How is it possible that “a portion” of the military got control of all of these tanks, aircraft and soldiers? The heads of the military just weren’t paying attention while this was planned? How does that make any sense at all?
And here: how were people supposed to know if they supported the coup if they didn’t even know who was running it?
Erdogan and the Prime Minister came out and said it was all being masterminded by an Islamic cleric in Pennsylvania! Why would they say something so nonsensical?
None of it adds up, at all.
Other people are going to come out with this theory. I assume Alex Jones and other conspiracy theorists will. I wanted to come out with it first, because I believe they will attach various bits of nuttiness and confusion to the theory.
Basically, I think – again, I don’t know for sure, I am simply saying it is the most likely possibility – that certain elements of the military collaborated with the Erdogan regime to stage a coup that was destined to fail for the purpose of making Erdogan look like a hero both domestically and internationally.
Now he’s the hero.
Of course, some elements of the military – those who actually carried out the coup – would have been told by those that ordered it that it was a real coup. Because coups are such a tradition in Turkey, very few people would have had to have known that it was fake.
This surely won’t ever be proven. It can’t really be, short of a whistleblower coming out, which probably won’t happen, because again, very, very few people would have had to have known it was a fake coup.
One thing is for certain: even if Erdogan didn’t plan this, he couldn’t have hoped for a better situation. This has effectively made him the country’s king, while also being hailed as the paragon of democracy.
At time of writing, the situation is ongoing. And obviously if it turns out the coup is more successful than it looks right now, my theory will be proven wrong. But it does look like it’s failed, miserably.